Skip to content
EA
Research

MoonDog EA: the optimised settings held up on +165,035.3% out of sample, at 3.6% drawdown

8 min read

We optimised MoonDog EA on XAUUSD M15 over one window and then ran the winning inputs, untouched, over a later one the optimiser never saw. The fitted window returned +28,742.7%; the unseen window returned +165,035.3%.

The test

Our own run · real ticks
MoonDog EA v3.34 XAUUSD.cn · M15
by James Vito Armin Bianchini $299 ★ 5.0 · 13 View on MQL5 Market ↗

Fitted return

+28,742.7%

Unseen return

+165,035.3%

Unseen drawdown

3.6%

Unseen trades

565

Metric Fitted window Unseen window
Period 2025 Mar–Nov 2026 Jan–Jul
Return +28,742.7% +165,035.3%
Max drawdown (equity) 30.5% 3.6%
Trades 855 565
Profit factor 2.11 8.24
Win rate 55.3% 68.0%
Longest losing streak 12 9
Days producing 80% of profit 7/153 27/109
Commission + swap, share of gross 0.0% 0.0%

The left column is what the search produced by construction — those inputs were chosen because they made those numbers. Only the right column describes a period that had not happened yet when the settings were picked.

Fitted window The optimiser searched inputs over this period. A good result here is what the search was for. Started at $10,000, ended at $2,884,268. Deepest drawdown −30.5%. Account balance Drawdown from peak 2025-03-01 → 2025-11-01
$2,884,268 -32.0% 2025-03-03 2025-10-31
Unseen window The winning inputs, run once over a later period with no further tuning. This is the result. Started at $10,000, ended at $16,513,530. Deepest drawdown −3.6%. Account balance Drawdown from peak 2026-01-01 → 2026-07-01
$16,513,530 -27.6% 2026-01-02 2026-06-30

The .set file used in this test

Load it in the Strategy Tester and reproduce the run above.

Checking your access…

Test conditions

Symbol / timeframeXAUUSD.cn · M15
BrokerBlueberry Markets Pty Ltd
Starting balance / leverage$10,000 · 1:500
SpreadBroker’s recorded variable spread
Modelling quality 100.0%
Product tested MoonDog EA v3.34
Developer James Vito Armin Bianchini
Listing $299 View on MQL5 Market ↗

MoonDog EA was optimised on one window of XAUUSD M15 data and then run, with those inputs unchanged, over a later window the optimiser never saw. It returned +165,035.3% there against a 3.6% maximum equity drawdown, over 565 trades.

Where this leaves it

One parameter set came through a period it was not built on. That is the least a set of settings has to do to be worth anything, and most do not manage it. It is not evidence that the next period will look the same, and we are not going to present it as such — a walk-forward test removes candidates, it does not find winners.

Members section

The parameter set and the .set file

The full input set that produced the out-of-sample result above, what each changed value does, and the .set file for XAUUSD M15.

Checking your access…

Tags: Crypto XAUUSD

Updated Aug 28, 2026